Warriors vs. Mavericks prediction, odds: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 best bets from model on 87-59 run

Warriors vs. Mavericks prediction, odds: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 best bets from model on 87-59 run

The Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks in a pivotal Game 5 matchup during the Western Conference finals on Thursday night. Dallas willed itself to a 119-109 victory in the last contest to its their 2022 NBA playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Warriors are one win away from advancing to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2019. Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) remains out for Dallas, while Golden State has ruled out Andre Iguodala (cervical disc), Gary Payton II (elbow) and James Wiseman (knee). Otto Porter Jr. (foot) is questionable. 

Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET at Chase Center. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the 6.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds. The over-under for total points is set at 215. Before locking in any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals in the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavs, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Mavericks spread: Golden State -6.5
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks over-under: 215 points
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks money line: Golden State -320, Dallas +250
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • DAL: Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last six Thursday games
  • GS: Warriors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks

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Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Klay Thompson provides the Warriors with another knockdown shooter on the perimeter. Thompson has an effortless shooting stroke with outstanding range. Dallas must always account for Thompson on the floor due to his ability to light up the scoreboard in a hurry. The five-time All-Star also plays sound defense and can swipe steals with consistency. Thompson averages 19 points, 4.4 rebounds and is shooting 38 percent from downtown during the 2022 NBA Playoffs.

Forward Jonathan Kuminga comes off the bench and provides a spark. Kuminga is an explosive athlete who can finish with force around the rim. The 19-year-old rookie has solid ball handles and can create his own shot if needed. Kuminga does his best work when he’s in attack mode. The 2021 seventh overall pick dropped 17 points and eight boards in his last outing.

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic impacts the game in many different ways for Dallas. Doncic is an elite offensive playmaker who can pile up points, assists and rebounds with ease. The three-time All-Star owns superb court vision with a reliable jumper from the perimeter. He currently leads the team in points (31.9), rebounds (9.9) and assists (6.4). In the Game 4 win, he provided 30 points, 14 boards and nine assists.

Guard Jalen Brunson is another scoring option in the backcourt. Brunson is very quick and agile on the floor, constantly getting past his man. The Villanova product has a plethora of moves to get a bucket. He is fearless when driving to the basket and isn’t afraid of contact. Brunson is averaging 22.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. 

How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 216 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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